GDP = C + I + G + (X – M) The change in GDP is just the change in the components. Consumption is about 70% of the equation, Investment 16%, Government 20% and Exports – Imports -4% With weigthings the equation looks like this after dropping Exports and Imports as having little effect: GDP…
Here’s a simple model for forecasting the closing price of the SP Cash based on the coincident annual change in price of the 30 year Bonds and VIX. Since the annual changes for Bonds and VIX aren’t available yet, the annual change as of 12/6 was used as a proxy. The Result? A 19% year-end…
Trend Day Forecast historical results covering the past 12 months are available. Accuracy was 69% over all timeframes in the SP futures. About 2 set-ups per day, average +1.5 pts. Call or drop a note to request a copy, –h Henry Carstens 503-701-5741 carstens@verticalsolutions.com Share and Enjoy
Sometimes the most basic tests provide the biggest insights and can later be used to refine other tests. Idea: Buy or sell in the opposite direction of the day’s trade, i.e., if today was up from yesterday’s close, then go home short. If today was down, go home long. Exit at the close of the…