Our Best Forecasts

Some of our best (and a few of our worst) forecasts. The actual forecast sent to clients is attached to each entry:

• 02/10/12, Long US 30 yr futures from European open (+19/32). This was a ‘Best Forecast’ because it used the ‘or’ technique we talk about in our papers to build a good forecast. Here is the actual forecast sent to clients:  [US] Forecast- Bullish Intraday, mixed in longer timeframes
• 01/13/12, Long ES futures from 12:30 ct (+12.5 pts). This was a ‘Best Forecast’ because it took a bit of digging and was a bit unusual. Interestingly, the more general forecasts had been for big days in US and Stoxx but I couldn’t get a handle on the direction. Here is the actual 12:30 to close sub-forecast sent to clients where I did find some direction:  [SP] Bullish from 1230
• 01/11/12, Long US Bond futures from European open (+1 4/32). This was a ‘Best Forecast’ because it was a simple forecast that caught a trend day in bonds. Here is the actual forecast sent to clients:  [US] Trend Day Forecast, January 11, 2012
• 12/20/11, Long Euro Stoxx futures from open (+37.50), Long SP futures at 09:00 ct (+9.75). This was a ‘Best Forecast’ because it started w/ a strong Stoxx forecast that rolled into a strong SP forecast allowing early entry or an early bias to the December 20th trend day trade. Here are the actual forecasts sent to clients:  [Stoxx] Forecast: Bullish in all timeframes,  [SP] Forecast: A Chance to Trend

–h
Henry Carstens
503-701-5741