[Risk] Pre Market Trend Odds Week of May 2nd #risk #trendodds

Friday, May 6, 2016

Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 46%

08:00 am ct: 42%. Trend odds not changing much means the odds of a big trend day where all the markets adjust to the Employment Report is low

Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade

Thursday, May 5, 2016

Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 30%

Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 36%

Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade

Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 48%

Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade

Monday, May 2, 2016

Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 18%, low odds of a big trend day across markets

Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade

The current odds that equities, fixed, commodities and currencies will move and trend together today.

The idea is that risk increases with the number of markets that are concurrently trending. This is a very simple peer effects model – a standing ovation model. So the more markets that ‘stand’ the more likely that more markets stand and that the ‘applause’ – the momentum – will grow.

Live Trend Odds (here) tracks the number of markets currently trending (standing) within a sample of markets. The higher the odds, the more markets that are trending. The more markets that are trending the higher the odds all the markets will continue to trend.

Live Trend Odds are updated every 30 minutes from the European open thru 14:00 pm ct.

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