Combine the live odds equities are trending given by the Equity Trend Indictor with the live odds ‘all’ markets are trending Live Trend Odds for the current probability today is a trend day. Both are Peer Effects models. (Note: The Live Trend Odds webpage is currently down for an upgrade – almost finished!) ———— Trend Days and Rangebound Days are Read more about [Equities] Pre-Market Trend Odds Week of March 28 #es #spy[…]
Friday, March 31 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 40% Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade to the model – almost finished! Thursday, March 31 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 33% (9:45 am ct, not really pre-market) Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade to Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Week of March 28[…]
Thursday, March 24 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 33% Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade to the model Wednesday, March 23 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 24% Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade to the model Tuesday, March 22 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds, Week of March 21[…]
Combine the historical Trend Odds with the Equity Trend Indictor (live odds equities are trending) and the Live Trend Odds (the live odds ‘all’ the markets are trending) for the current probability today is a trend day. Both are Peer Effects models. (Note: The Live Trend Odds webpage is currently down for an upgrade) ———— Trend Days and Rangebound Days are very Read more about [Equities] Live Trend Odds, Week of March 14th[…]
Friday, March 18 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 8% Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade Thursday, March 17 n/t, technical problems Wednesday, March 16 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 8% Note: The Live Trend Odds web page is currently down for an upgrade Tuesday, March 15 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 16% Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Week of March 14th[…]
Combine the historical Trend Odds with the Equity Trend Indictor (live odds equities are trending) and the Live Trend Odds (the live odds ‘all’ the markets are trending) for the current probability today is a trend day. Both are Peer Effects models. ———— Trend Days and Rangebound Days are very difficult to forecast w/ historical data. Same for Regime shifts. When forecasting Read more about [Equities] Live Trend Odds Week of March 7 #spy #es[…]
Friday, March 11 Risk, Pre-market Trend Odds: 48% Thurdsay, March 10 Risk, Pre-market Trend Odds: 56%, potential trend day Wednesday, March 9 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 48% Tuesday, March 8 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: 16% Monday, March 7 Risk Pre-Market Trend Odds: n/t The current odds that equities, fixed, commodities and currencies Read more about [Risk] Pre-Market Trend Odds Week of March 7[…]
Trend Days and Rangebound Days are very difficult to forecast w/ historical data. Same for Regime shifts. Forecasting a Trend Day/Rangebound Day for tomorrow on tonight’s close I’m right about 52% of the time. Peer Effects models work better, i.e, real time forecasts are better than ones based on historical data. Live Trend Odds and Read more about [Trend Days and Rangebound Days] Forecasting[…]